Saturday, June 20, 2026 · 9:41 AM
ok dumb question, what’s the deal with research as alibi?
Motivated reasoning is what turns research into an alibi. Once the team is attached to a direction, confirmation bias helps them gather, trust, and present the evidence that keeps that direction alive.
so the villain is... my brain trying to be helpful?
pretty much
your brain hates blank space, so it fills it with the nearest sample: you
Raymond Nickerson’s sweeping 1998 review of confirmation bias across dozens of fields shows that the problem is not stupidity or dishonesty.
that feels rude but accurate
it’s like asking someone about their gym routine while they’re wearing clean sneakers in daylight
wait so the fix is just ‘ask users’?
annoyingly, no
asking helps, but the chapter is warning you about the gap between what feels true and what survives contact
You tell yourself you run research to find out what users want. That is not always what is happening. Sometimes the question is already answered before the study…
ok that’s the part people skip
yep. confirmation bias protects the story is the trap door
then it shows up as what biased research looks like
Google launched Google+ in June 2011 on the back of internal research.
so what do i actually do differently on monday
listen to what people say, then watch what they actually do
treat a confident future promise as a hypothesis, not a receipt
and if a choice only works for informed, patient, caffeinated people, treat that as a bug
that’s the series tbh
design psychology is mostly noticing the human nonsense before it ships
ok send me the next one after i recover
Read Sat, Jun 20 · 10:03 AM